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Will it freeze in Topeka in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Topeka during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 40°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Topeka
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 31, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Topeka - NWS. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 10 · Apr 24 · May 5 | Sep 28 · Oct 13 · Oct 26 | 169 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 1 · Apr 16 · Apr 27 | Oct 6 · Oct 22 · Nov 4 | 189 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 5 · Apr 20 | Oct 17 · Oct 31 · Nov 16 | 208 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Topeka - NWS
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Topeka, KS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Topeka - NWS (station USC00148171, elevation 880 ft), 4.4 mi from Topeka. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Topeka
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence, KS | 24 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 28 |
| Eudora, KS | 33 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 17 |
| Tonganoxie, KS | 34 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 17 |
| Ottawa, KS | 38 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 20 |
| De Soto, KS | 39 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 24 |
| Basehor, KS | 42 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Bonner Springs, KS | 44 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Gardner, KS | 45 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 24 |
| Lansing, KS | 45 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 19 |
| Leavenworth, KS | 46 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 27 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Topeka?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Topeka is around April 16. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 1.
When is the first frost in Topeka?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 22. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 6 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in Topeka after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 24.
What growing zone is Topeka?
Topeka is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 66621. See growing zones in Kansas.
More: all Kansas frost dates · Kansas growing zones · UV index today in Topeka · frost vs. freeze