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Will it freeze in De Soto in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in De Soto during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 41°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in De Soto
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 2, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Olathe Johnson County Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 9 · Apr 23 · May 6 | Sep 30 · Oct 15 · Oct 27 | 173 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 30 · Apr 13 · Apr 29 | Oct 10 · Oct 24 · Nov 4 | 193 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 16 · Apr 3 · Apr 19 | Oct 20 · Nov 2 · Nov 18 | 214 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Olathe Johnson County Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for De Soto, KS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Olathe Johnson County Airport (station USW00093909, elevation 1,087 ft), 9.2 mi from De Soto. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near De Soto
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eudora, KS | 6.2 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 17 |
| Olathe, KS | 9.9 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 29 |
| Gardner, KS | 9.9 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 24 |
| Lenexa, KS | 9.9 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 29 |
| Shawnee, KS | 11 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Bonner Springs, KS | 11 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Tonganoxie, KS | 12 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 17 |
| Basehor, KS | 14 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Lawrence, KS | 15 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 28 |
| Spring Hill, KS | 16 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in De Soto?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in De Soto is around April 13. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 29, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 30.
When is the first frost in De Soto?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 24. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 10 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in De Soto after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 23.
What growing zone is De Soto?
De Soto is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 66018. See growing zones in Kansas.
More: all Kansas frost dates · Kansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze