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Will it freeze in Shawnee in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Shawnee during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 42°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 42°F Above 36°F · Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 41°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 45°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Shawnee
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 31, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Bonner Springs. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 12 · Apr 28 · May 9 | Sep 29 · Oct 13 · Oct 24 | 168 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 1 · Apr 16 · May 1 | Oct 9 · Oct 22 · Nov 2 | 188 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 19 · Apr 5 · Apr 22 | Oct 17 · Oct 31 · Nov 14 | 206 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Bonner Springs
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Shawnee, KS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Bonner Springs (station USC00140957, elevation 850 ft), 5.8 mi from Shawnee. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Shawnee
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lenexa, KS | 3.7 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 29 |
| Bonner Springs, KS | 5.6 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Merriam, KS | 6.2 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Mission, KS | 8.1 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Kansas City, KS | 8.1 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Roeland Park, KS | 9.3 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Prairie Village, KS | 9.3 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Olathe, KS | 9.3 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 29 |
| Basehor, KS | 11 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Overland Park, KS | 11 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Shawnee?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Shawnee is around April 16. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 1, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 1.
When is the first frost in Shawnee?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 22. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 9 and a 90% chance by November 2.
Can it frost in Shawnee after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 28.
What growing zone is Shawnee?
Shawnee is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 66218. See growing zones in Kansas.
More: all Kansas frost dates · Kansas growing zones · UV index today in Shawnee · frost vs. freeze