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Will it freeze in Mission in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Mission during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 46°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Mission
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 11, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Kansas City Downtown Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 1 · Apr 15 · May 2 | Oct 12 · Oct 25 · Nov 6 | 192 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 4 · Apr 20 | Oct 21 · Nov 2 · Nov 16 | 211 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 6 · Mar 26 · Apr 10 | Oct 28 · Nov 11 · Nov 29 | 231 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Kansas City Downtown Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Mission, KS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Kansas City Downtown Airport (station USW00013988, elevation 742 ft), 7.3 mi from Mission. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Mission
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roeland Park, KS | 1.2 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Merriam, KS | 1.9 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Prairie Village, KS | 3.1 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Shawnee, KS | 8.1 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Kansas City, KS | 8.1 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Leawood, KS | 8.7 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 29 |
| Kansas City, MO | 8.7 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Lenexa, KS | 8.7 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 29 |
| North Kansas City, MO | 9.3 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Overland Park, KS | 9.9 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Mission?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Mission is around April 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 17.
When is the first frost in Mission?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 21 and a 90% chance by November 16.
Can it frost in Mission after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 15.
What growing zone is Mission?
Mission is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 66202. See growing zones in Kansas.
More: all Kansas frost dates · Kansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze