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Will it freeze in Dixon in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 27°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 37°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 37°F Above 36°F · Patchy Drizzle then Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 27°F Hard freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Dixon
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 30, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Dixon 1W. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 18 · May 2 · May 16 | Sep 24 · Oct 9 · Oct 22 | 158 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 7 · Apr 21 · May 5 | Oct 4 · Oct 19 · Oct 30 | 180 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 27 · Apr 10 · Apr 26 | Oct 17 · Oct 30 · Nov 12 | 201 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Dixon 1W
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Dixon, IL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Dixon 1W (station USC00112348, elevation 660 ft), 1.9 mi from Dixon. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Dixon
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling, IL | 12 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 19 |
| Rock Falls, IL | 12 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 19 |
| Rochelle, IL | 22 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 13 |
| Mendota, IL | 28 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 15 |
| Freeport, IL | 32 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 13 |
| Princeton, IL | 32 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 17 |
| Rockford, IL | 36 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 17 |
| Peru, IL | 38 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 18 |
| DeKalb, IL | 38 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 18 |
| Spring Valley, IL | 39 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 18 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Dixon?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Dixon is around April 21. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 7.
When is the first frost in Dixon?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 4 and a 90% chance by October 30.
Can it frost in Dixon after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 2.
What growing zone is Dixon?
Dixon is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 61021. See growing zones in Illinois.
More: all Illinois frost dates · Illinois growing zones · frost vs. freeze