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Will it freeze in Starke in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Starke during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 68°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 68°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 61°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 55°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 54°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 53°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 54°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 54°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Starke
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is January 4, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Starke. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 2 · Mar 1 · Mar 22 | Nov 9 · Dec 2 · Jan 1 | 279 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 6 · Feb 8 · Mar 8 | Nov 29 · Dec 24 · Jan 30 | 313 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 26 · Jan 23 · Feb 20 | Dec 7 · Jan 4 · Feb 9 | 349 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Starke
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Starke, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Starke (station USC00088529, elevation 150 ft), 0.7 mi from Starke. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Starke
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macclenny, FL | 23 mi | Mar 8 | Dec 1 |
| Gainesville, FL | 23 mi | Mar 3 | Dec 2 |
| Alachua, FL | 25 mi | Mar 4 | Dec 4 |
| Green Cove Springs, FL | 26 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
| Orange Park, FL | 29 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
| High Springs, FL | 30 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 22 |
| Palatka, FL | 34 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 4 |
| Newberry, FL | 35 mi | Mar 4 | Dec 4 |
| Lake City, FL | 36 mi | Mar 1 | Nov 28 |
| Jacksonville, FL | 38 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Starke?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Starke is around February 8. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 8, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 6.
When is the first frost in Starke?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 24. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 29 and a 90% chance by January 30.
Can it frost in Starke after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 1.
What growing zone is Starke?
Starke is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 32091. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · frost vs. freeze