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Will it freeze in Alachua in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Alachua during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 68°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 68°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 61°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 53°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 52°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 53°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Alachua
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 24, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Gainesville 11 Wnw. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 23 · Mar 20 · Apr 7 | Nov 1 · Nov 20 · Dec 12 | 247 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 3 · Mar 4 · Mar 26 | Nov 10 · Dec 4 · Jan 6 | 274 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 11 · Feb 16 · Mar 15 | Nov 24 · Dec 24 · Feb 1 | 306 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Gainesville 11 Wnw
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Alachua, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Gainesville 11 Wnw (station USC00083322, elevation 95 ft), 6.8 mi from Alachua. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Alachua
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| High Springs, FL | 6.2 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 22 |
| Gainesville, FL | 11 mi | Mar 3 | Dec 2 |
| Newberry, FL | 11 mi | Mar 4 | Dec 4 |
| Starke, FL | 25 mi | Feb 8 | Dec 24 |
| Lake City, FL | 30 mi | Mar 1 | Nov 28 |
| Macclenny, FL | 41 mi | Mar 8 | Dec 1 |
| Ocala, FL | 46 mi | Feb 25 | Dec 12 |
| Live Oak, FL | 47 mi | Feb 20 | Dec 6 |
| Palatka, FL | 50 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 4 |
| Green Cove Springs, FL | 50 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Alachua?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Alachua is around March 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 26, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 3.
When is the first frost in Alachua?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 4. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 10 and a 90% chance by January 6.
Can it frost in Alachua after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 20.
What growing zone is Alachua?
Alachua is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 32616. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · frost vs. freeze