Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Ocala in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Ocala during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 68°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 68°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 65°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 57°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 57°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 56°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 56°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 56°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Ocala
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is January 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Ocala. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 18 · Mar 12 · Apr 1 | Nov 8 · Nov 27 · Dec 24 | 259 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 24 · Feb 25 · Mar 21 | Nov 21 · Dec 12 · Jan 14 | 293 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 2 · Feb 4 · Mar 7 | Dec 3 · Jan 3 · Feb 7 | 328 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Ocala
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Ocala, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Ocala (station USC00086414, elevation 75 ft), 4.5 mi from Ocala. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Ocala
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belleview, FL | 9.9 mi | Feb 25 | Dec 12 |
| Lady Lake, FL | 22 mi | Feb 2 | Jan 3 |
| Inverness, FL | 25 mi | Mar 3 | Dec 5 |
| Fruitland Park, FL | 26 mi | Jan 26 | Jan 9 |
| Wildwood, FL | 27 mi | Mar 2 | Dec 5 |
| Leesburg, FL | 35 mi | Jan 26 | Jan 9 |
| Eustis, FL | 36 mi | Feb 2 | Jan 3 |
| Gainesville, FL | 37 mi | Mar 3 | Dec 2 |
| Tavares, FL | 37 mi | Jan 26 | Jan 9 |
| Mount Dora, FL | 40 mi | Feb 24 | Dec 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Ocala?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Ocala is around February 25. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 24.
When is the first frost in Ocala?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 12. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 21 and a 90% chance by January 14.
Can it frost in Ocala after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 12.
What growing zone is Ocala?
Ocala is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 34471. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · UV index today in Ocala · frost vs. freeze