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Will it freeze in Tavares in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Tavares during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 69°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 69°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 67°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 62°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 61°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 60°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 60°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 59°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Tavares
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Leesburg Municipal Airport, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 7 · Feb 6 · Mar 8 | Dec 1 · Dec 30 · Jan 25 | 314 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 31 · Jan 26 · Feb 21 | Dec 17 · Jan 9 · Feb 5 | 346 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 29 · Jan 17 · Feb 9 | Dec 28 · Jan 13 · Feb 8 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Leesburg Municipal Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Tavares, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Leesburg Municipal Airport (station USW00012819, elevation 77 ft), 5.0 mi from Tavares. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Tavares
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eustis, FL | 8.1 mi | Feb 2 | Jan 3 |
| Mount Dora, FL | 8.1 mi | Feb 24 | Dec 29 |
| Groveland, FL | 8.7 mi | Jan 26 | Jan 9 |
| Leesburg, FL | 9.3 mi | Jan 26 | Jan 9 |
| Minneola, FL | 11 mi | Jan 29 | Jan 11 |
| Fruitland Park, FL | 12 mi | Jan 26 | Jan 9 |
| Apopka, FL | 14 mi | Feb 24 | Dec 29 |
| Mascotte, FL | 14 mi | Mar 2 | Dec 5 |
| Lady Lake, FL | 15 mi | Feb 2 | Jan 3 |
| Wildwood, FL | 16 mi | Mar 2 | Dec 5 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Tavares?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Tavares is around January 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 31.
When is the first frost in Tavares?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around January 9. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 17 and a 90% chance by February 5.
Can it frost in Tavares after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 6.
What growing zone is Tavares?
Tavares is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 32778. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · frost vs. freeze