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Will it freeze in Orange Park in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Orange Park during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 69°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 69°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 64°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 60°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 58°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 57°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 57°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 56°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Orange Park
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Jacksonville NAS, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 20 · Feb 18 · Mar 15 | Nov 20 · Dec 17 · Jan 22 | 302 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 31 · Feb 1 · Mar 3 | Dec 3 · Jan 5 · Feb 6 | 330 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 28 · Jan 22 · Feb 19 | Dec 19 · Jan 14 · Feb 12 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Jacksonville NAS
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Orange Park, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Jacksonville NAS (station USW00093837, elevation 20 ft), 4.8 mi from Orange Park. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Orange Park
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville, FL | 12 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
| Green Cove Springs, FL | 13 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
| Jacksonville Beach, FL | 21 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 10 |
| Neptune Beach, FL | 21 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 10 |
| Atlantic Beach, FL | 22 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 10 |
| Macclenny, FL | 26 mi | Mar 8 | Dec 1 |
| Starke, FL | 29 mi | Feb 8 | Dec 24 |
| St. Augustine, FL | 30 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
| St. Augustine Beach, FL | 35 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
| Palatka, FL | 36 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 4 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Orange Park?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Orange Park is around February 1. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 31.
When is the first frost in Orange Park?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around January 5. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 3 and a 90% chance by February 6.
Can it frost in Orange Park after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 18.
What growing zone is Orange Park?
Orange Park is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 32073. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · frost vs. freeze