Frost dates 2026–2027

Frost dates for Lakeland, Florida

Median (50% chance) dates of the last and first 32°F frost, from NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals at Lakeland 2, 5.7 mi away (close match).

Last spring frostJan 26
First fall frostJan 9
349 frost-free days
Last spring frostJan 261 year in 10 after Feb 21
First fall frostJan 91 year in 10 by Dec 20
Growing season349 daysbetween median 32°F dates
Hardiness zoneZone 9b25 to 30°F average extreme low

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Will it freeze in Lakeland in the next 7 nights?

No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lakeland during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.

Tonight: forecast low 68°F. Above 36°F.

NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.

No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.

Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.

Frost and freeze probabilities

Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.

These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.

Average first hard freeze in Lakeland

Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Lakeland 2, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.

TemperatureLast spring date
90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze
First fall date
10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze
Season
36°F frost possible Jan 11 · Feb 8 · Mar 8 Dec 3 · Dec 30 · Jan 26 316 days
32°F freeze Jan 2 · Jan 26 · Feb 21 Dec 20 · Jan 9 · Feb 4 349 days
28°F hard freeze Dec 30 · Jan 17 · Feb 5 Dec 28 · Jan 13 · Feb 2 365 days
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020, station USC00084802. How to read these probabilities.

Average high temperature by month

1991–2020 normals at Lakeland 2

Average low temperature by month

Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk

Where these frost dates come from

The frost dates for Lakeland, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Lakeland 2 (station USC00084802, elevation 139 ft), 5.7 mi from Lakeland. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.

Frost dates near Lakeland

CityDistanceLast spring frostFirst fall frost
Auburndale, FL 11 mi rare rare
Plant City, FL 11 mi Jan 30 Jan 6
Eagle Lake, FL 14 mi rare rare
Winter Haven, FL 14 mi rare rare
Bartow, FL 14 mi Jan 24 Jan 7
Lake Alfred, FL 16 mi rare rare
Zephyrhills, FL 19 mi Jan 31 Jan 8
Haines City, FL 21 mi rare rare
Dundee, FL 22 mi Feb 4 Jan 4
Fort Meade, FL 22 mi Jan 24 Jan 7

Frequently asked questions

When is the last frost in Lakeland?

On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lakeland is around January 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 2.

When is the first frost in Lakeland?

The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around January 9. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 20 and a 90% chance by February 4.

Can it frost in Lakeland after the last frost date?

Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 8.

What growing zone is Lakeland?

Lakeland is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 33815. See growing zones in Florida.

More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · UV index today in Lakeland · frost vs. freeze