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Will it freeze in Fort Meade in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Fort Meade during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 68°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 68°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 68°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 63°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 63°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 61°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 62°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Isolated Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 61°F Above 36°F · Isolated Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fort Meade
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Bartow 1SE, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 9 · Feb 6 · Mar 7 | Dec 2 · Dec 30 · Jan 28 | 319 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 27 · Jan 24 · Feb 20 | Dec 17 · Jan 7 · Feb 6 | 352 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 26 · Jan 19 · Feb 8 | Dec 25 · Jan 11 · Feb 6 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Bartow 1SE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fort Meade, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Bartow 1SE (station USC00080478, elevation 111 ft), 8.5 mi from Fort Meade. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fort Meade
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bartow, FL | 8.7 mi | Jan 24 | Jan 7 |
| Eagle Lake, FL | 15 mi | rare | rare |
| Lake Wales, FL | 17 mi | Feb 4 | Jan 4 |
| Winter Haven, FL | 20 mi | rare | rare |
| Dundee, FL | 21 mi | Feb 4 | Jan 4 |
| Avon Park, FL | 22 mi | Jan 28 | Jan 8 |
| Lakeland, FL | 22 mi | Jan 26 | Jan 9 |
| Auburndale, FL | 24 mi | rare | rare |
| Plant City, FL | 25 mi | Jan 30 | Jan 6 |
| Lake Alfred, FL | 26 mi | rare | rare |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fort Meade?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fort Meade is around January 24. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 27.
When is the first frost in Fort Meade?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around January 7. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 17 and a 90% chance by February 6.
Can it frost in Fort Meade after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 6.
What growing zone is Fort Meade?
Fort Meade is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 10a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 30 to 35°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 33847. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · frost vs. freeze