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Will it freeze in Lake Alfred in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lake Alfred during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 68°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 68°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 67°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 62°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 62°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 60°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 61°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Isolated Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 61°F Above 36°F · Isolated Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lake Alfred
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Winter Haven Gilbert Airport, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Dec 31 · Jan 25 · Feb 24 | Dec 15 · Jan 8 · Feb 3 | 344 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 30 · Jan 15 · Feb 7 | Dec 25 · Jan 10 · Feb 5 | 365 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | rare in most years | rare in most years | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Winter Haven Gilbert Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lake Alfred, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Winter Haven Gilbert Airport (station USW00012876, elevation 146 ft), 5.7 mi from Lake Alfred. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lake Alfred
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auburndale, FL | 5.0 mi | rare | rare |
| Haines City, FL | 6.2 mi | rare | rare |
| Winter Haven, FL | 6.2 mi | rare | rare |
| Davenport, FL | 6.8 mi | rare | rare |
| Dundee, FL | 11 mi | Feb 4 | Jan 4 |
| Eagle Lake, FL | 12 mi | rare | rare |
| Lakeland, FL | 16 mi | Jan 26 | Jan 9 |
| Lake Wales, FL | 17 mi | Feb 4 | Jan 4 |
| Bartow, FL | 19 mi | Jan 24 | Jan 7 |
| Kissimmee, FL | 22 mi | Jan 28 | Jan 6 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lake Alfred?
Lake Alfred doesn’t reach 32°F in a typical year, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 normals for the nearest station.
When is the first frost in Lake Alfred?
Freezes are uncommon here; check the 7-night forecast above during cold snaps.
Can it frost in Lake Alfred after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after January 25.
What growing zone is Lake Alfred?
Lake Alfred is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 10a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 30 to 35°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 33850. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · frost vs. freeze