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Will it freeze in Arcadia in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Arcadia during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 68°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 68°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 68°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 64°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 64°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 63°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 63°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Isolated Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 63°F Above 36°F · Isolated Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Arcadia
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is January 11, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Arcadia. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 31 · Mar 1 · Mar 24 | Nov 21 · Dec 17 · Jan 16 | 292 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 8 · Feb 7 · Mar 10 | Dec 8 · Jan 4 · Feb 6 | 324 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 31 · Jan 28 · Feb 26 | Dec 25 · Jan 11 · Feb 16 | 361 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Arcadia
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Arcadia, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Arcadia (station USC00080228, elevation 25 ft), 1.0 mi from Arcadia. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Arcadia
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Port, FL | 24 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 6 |
| Punta Gorda, FL | 25 mi | rare | rare |
| Sebring, FL | 30 mi | Jan 28 | Jan 8 |
| Avon Park, FL | 34 mi | Jan 28 | Jan 8 |
| Venice, FL | 35 mi | rare | rare |
| Fort Meade, FL | 38 mi | Jan 24 | Jan 7 |
| Cape Coral, FL | 41 mi | rare | rare |
| Fort Myers, FL | 42 mi | rare | rare |
| LaBelle, FL | 43 mi | Feb 2 | Jan 8 |
| Sarasota, FL | 43 mi | rare | rare |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Arcadia?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Arcadia is around February 7. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 8.
When is the first frost in Arcadia?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around January 4. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 8 and a 90% chance by February 6.
Can it frost in Arcadia after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 1.
What growing zone is Arcadia?
Arcadia is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 34266. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · frost vs. freeze