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Will it freeze in Sarasota in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Sarasota during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 71°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 71°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 70°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 65°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 66°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 65°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 66°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Isolated Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 66°F Above 36°F · Isolated Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Sarasota
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Sarasota Bradenton Airport, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 1 · Jan 27 · Feb 24 | Dec 16 · Jan 7 · Feb 5 | 345 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 29 · Jan 15 · Feb 8 | Dec 24 · Jan 10 · Feb 3 | 365 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | rare in most years | rare in most years | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Sarasota Bradenton Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Sarasota, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Sarasota Bradenton Airport (station USW00012871, elevation 28 ft), 4.5 mi from Sarasota. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Sarasota
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Longboat Key, FL | 7.5 mi | rare | rare |
| Bradenton, FL | 11 mi | rare | rare |
| Palmetto, FL | 13 mi | rare | rare |
| Venice, FL | 17 mi | rare | rare |
| North Port, FL | 29 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 6 |
| St. Pete Beach, FL | 29 mi | rare | rare |
| St. Petersburg, FL | 30 mi | rare | rare |
| Gulfport, FL | 30 mi | rare | rare |
| South Pasadena, FL | 31 mi | rare | rare |
| Treasure Island, FL | 32 mi | rare | rare |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Sarasota?
Sarasota doesn’t reach 32°F in a typical year, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 normals for the nearest station.
When is the first frost in Sarasota?
Freezes are uncommon here; check the 7-night forecast above during cold snaps.
Can it frost in Sarasota after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after January 27.
What growing zone is Sarasota?
Sarasota is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 10a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 30 to 35°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 34236. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · UV index today in Sarasota · frost vs. freeze