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Will it freeze in Gustine in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Gustine during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 50°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Gustine
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 12, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Newman. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 3 · Apr 7 · May 6 | Oct 26 · Nov 14 · Dec 1 | 218 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 18 · Feb 26 · Apr 21 | Nov 12 · Nov 29 · Dec 21 | 273 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 21 · Jan 20 · Mar 31 | Nov 24 · Dec 12 · Jan 16 | 334 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Newman
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Gustine, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Newman (station USC00046168, elevation 90 ft), 2.3 mi from Gustine. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Gustine
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newman, CA | 4.3 mi | Feb 26 | Nov 29 |
| Los Banos, CA | 16 mi | Jan 26 | Dec 10 |
| Livingston, CA | 17 mi | Jan 6 | Dec 20 |
| Patterson, CA | 18 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Turlock, CA | 19 mi | Jan 6 | Dec 20 |
| Atwater, CA | 23 mi | Mar 3 | Nov 24 |
| Ceres, CA | 24 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Hughson, CA | 25 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Modesto, CA | 27 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Dos Palos, CA | 27 mi | Jan 26 | Dec 10 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Gustine?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Gustine is around February 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 18.
When is the first frost in Gustine?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 29. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 12 and a 90% chance by December 21.
Can it frost in Gustine after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 7.
What growing zone is Gustine?
Gustine is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 95322. See growing zones in California.
More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · frost vs. freeze