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Will it freeze in Turlock in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Turlock during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 47°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 47°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 51°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Turlock
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Turlock #2, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 2 · Jan 31 · Feb 26 | Nov 21 · Dec 7 · Jan 3 | 312 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 14 · Jan 6 · Jan 31 | Dec 3 · Dec 20 · Jan 16 | 351 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 10 · Dec 30 · Jan 20 | Dec 8 · Dec 24 · Jan 16 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Turlock #2
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Turlock, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Turlock #2 (station USC00049073, elevation 103 ft), 0.8 mi from Turlock. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Turlock
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hughson, CA | 6.8 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Ceres, CA | 8.7 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Livingston, CA | 11 mi | Jan 6 | Dec 20 |
| Waterford, CA | 11 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Modesto, CA | 12 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Newman, CA | 16 mi | Feb 26 | Nov 29 |
| Riverbank, CA | 16 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Patterson, CA | 16 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Oakdale, CA | 18 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Atwater, CA | 18 mi | Mar 3 | Nov 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Turlock?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Turlock is around January 6. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after January 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 14.
When is the first frost in Turlock?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 20. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 3 and a 90% chance by January 16.
Can it frost in Turlock after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after January 31.
What growing zone is Turlock?
Turlock is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 95382. See growing zones in California.
More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · UV index today in Turlock · frost vs. freeze