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Will it freeze in Queen Creek in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Queen Creek during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 54°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 54°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 55°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 56°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 56°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 56°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 54°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Queen Creek
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 26, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Chandler Heights. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 29 · Feb 21 · Mar 11 | Nov 12 · Nov 28 · Dec 14 | 280 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 2 · Feb 1 · Feb 27 | Nov 23 · Dec 11 · Jan 1 | 315 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 15 · Jan 8 · Feb 11 | Dec 4 · Dec 26 · Jan 29 | 357 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Chandler Heights
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Queen Creek, AZ come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Chandler Heights (station USC00021514, elevation 1,425 ft), 4.6 mi from Queen Creek. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Queen Creek
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert, AZ | 8.7 mi | Feb 1 | Dec 11 |
| Apache Junction, AZ | 11 mi | Feb 11 | Dec 10 |
| Mesa, AZ | 12 mi | Feb 1 | Dec 10 |
| Chandler, AZ | 14 mi | Feb 13 | Dec 5 |
| Florence, AZ | 16 mi | Jan 30 | Dec 12 |
| Tempe, AZ | 21 mi | Feb 13 | Dec 5 |
| Coolidge, AZ | 22 mi | Feb 17 | Nov 29 |
| Guadalupe, AZ | 22 mi | Feb 13 | Dec 5 |
| Casa Grande, AZ | 25 mi | Feb 5 | Dec 6 |
| Maricopa, AZ | 26 mi | Feb 23 | Nov 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Queen Creek?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Queen Creek is around February 1. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 2.
When is the first frost in Queen Creek?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 11. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 23 and a 90% chance by January 1.
Can it frost in Queen Creek after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 21.
What growing zone is Queen Creek?
Queen Creek is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 85142. See growing zones in Arizona.
More: all Arizona frost dates · Arizona growing zones · UV index today in Queen Creek · frost vs. freeze