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Will it freeze in West Memphis in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in West Memphis during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 50°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in West Memphis
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 22, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at W Memphis. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 14 · Apr 2 · Apr 20 | Oct 17 · Oct 31 · Nov 15 | 212 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 1 · Mar 19 · Apr 7 | Oct 28 · Nov 10 · Nov 30 | 235 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 16 · Mar 7 · Mar 31 | Nov 5 · Nov 22 · Dec 14 | 260 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at W Memphis
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for West Memphis, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: W Memphis (station USC00037712, elevation 215 ft), 2.1 mi from West Memphis. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near West Memphis
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marion, AR | 3.7 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 11 |
| Memphis, TN | 13 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| Horn Lake, MS | 16 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| Southaven, MS | 19 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| Millington, TN | 21 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 5 |
| Bartlett, TN | 22 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 5 |
| Hernando, MS | 24 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 5 |
| Germantown, TN | 24 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 7 |
| Olive Branch, MS | 24 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 6 |
| Lakeland, TN | 28 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 5 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in West Memphis?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in West Memphis is around March 19. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 1.
When is the first frost in West Memphis?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 10. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 28 and a 90% chance by November 30.
Can it frost in West Memphis after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 2.
What growing zone is West Memphis?
West Memphis is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 72301. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze