Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Warren in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Warren during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Warren
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 23, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Warren 2 Wsw. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 15 · Apr 2 · Apr 19 | Oct 18 · Oct 31 · Nov 15 | 213 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 2 · Mar 20 · Apr 7 | Oct 28 · Nov 11 · Nov 29 | 235 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 15 · Mar 6 · Mar 24 | Nov 5 · Nov 23 · Dec 14 | 261 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Warren 2 Wsw
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Warren, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Warren 2 Wsw (station USC00037582, elevation 210 ft), 1.9 mi from Warren. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Warren
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monticello, AR | 16 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 12 |
| Pine Bluff, AR | 42 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 16 |
| El Dorado, AR | 44 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 7 |
| Camden, AR | 45 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 6 |
| White Hall, AR | 46 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 16 |
| Sheridan, AR | 53 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 3 |
| Bastrop, LA | 58 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 12 |
| Greenville, MS | 61 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 15 |
| Arkadelphia, AR | 68 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 4 |
| Stuttgart, AR | 68 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 17 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Warren?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Warren is around March 20. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 2.
When is the first frost in Warren?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 11. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 28 and a 90% chance by November 29.
Can it frost in Warren after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 2.
What growing zone is Warren?
Warren is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 71671. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze