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Will it freeze in El Dorado in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in El Dorado during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in El Dorado
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 20, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at El Dorado S Ar Regional Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 18 · Apr 5 · Apr 22 | Oct 15 · Oct 29 · Nov 11 | 206 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 1 · Mar 24 · Apr 9 | Oct 24 · Nov 7 · Nov 26 | 230 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 17 · Mar 9 · Mar 27 | Nov 2 · Nov 20 · Dec 9 | 257 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at El Dorado S Ar Regional Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for El Dorado, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: El Dorado S Ar Regional Airport (station USW00093992, elevation 252 ft), 8.7 mi from El Dorado. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near El Dorado
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Camden, AR | 26 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 6 |
| Magnolia, AR | 33 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 2 |
| Warren, AR | 44 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 11 |
| Ruston, LA | 47 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 16 |
| Grambling, LA | 48 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 16 |
| Bastrop, LA | 53 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 12 |
| Minden, LA | 55 mi | Mar 17 | Nov 14 |
| West Monroe, LA | 57 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 15 |
| Monticello, AR | 58 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 12 |
| Monroe, LA | 59 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 15 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in El Dorado?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in El Dorado is around March 24. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 9, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 1.
When is the first frost in El Dorado?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 7. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 24 and a 90% chance by November 26.
Can it frost in El Dorado after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 5.
What growing zone is El Dorado?
El Dorado is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 71730. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze