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Will it freeze in Monticello in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Monticello during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 50°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Monticello
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 25, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Monticello Municipal Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 13 · Apr 1 · Apr 17 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 17 | 214 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 26 · Mar 18 · Apr 6 | Oct 28 · Nov 12 · Dec 1 | 238 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 10 · Mar 4 · Mar 23 | Nov 5 · Nov 25 · Dec 17 | 264 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Monticello Municipal Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Monticello, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Monticello Municipal Airport (station USW00053919, elevation 290 ft), 2.3 mi from Monticello. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Monticello
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warren, AR | 16 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 11 |
| Pine Bluff, AR | 42 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 16 |
| Greenville, MS | 46 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 15 |
| White Hall, AR | 48 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 16 |
| El Dorado, AR | 58 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 7 |
| Bastrop, LA | 59 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 12 |
| Sheridan, AR | 61 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 3 |
| Camden, AR | 61 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 6 |
| Stuttgart, AR | 62 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 17 |
| Cleveland, MS | 62 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 15 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Monticello?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Monticello is around March 18. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 6, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 26.
When is the first frost in Monticello?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 12. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 28 and a 90% chance by December 1.
Can it frost in Monticello after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 1.
What growing zone is Monticello?
Monticello is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 71655. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze