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Will it freeze in Greenville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Greenville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 49°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 49°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Greenville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 26, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Greenville. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 7 · Mar 27 · Apr 13 | Oct 24 · Nov 5 · Nov 19 | 224 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 24 · Mar 13 · Mar 31 | Nov 2 · Nov 15 · Dec 1 | 247 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 10 · Mar 2 · Mar 19 | Nov 9 · Nov 26 · Dec 18 | 269 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Greenville
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Greenville, MS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Greenville (station USC00223605, elevation 125 ft), 1.7 mi from Greenville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Greenville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianola, MS | 24 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 20 |
| Cleveland, MS | 31 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 15 |
| Monticello, AR | 46 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 12 |
| Greenwood, MS | 50 mi | Mar 17 | Nov 5 |
| Yazoo City, MS | 52 mi | Mar 4 | Nov 24 |
| Warren, AR | 61 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 11 |
| Clarksdale, MS | 63 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 12 |
| Bastrop, LA | 65 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 12 |
| Tallulah, LA | 68 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 24 |
| Vicksburg, MS | 74 mi | Feb 26 | Nov 22 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Greenville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Greenville is around March 13. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 24.
When is the first frost in Greenville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 15. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 2 and a 90% chance by December 1.
Can it frost in Greenville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 27.
What growing zone is Greenville?
Greenville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 38701. See growing zones in Mississippi.
More: all Mississippi frost dates · Mississippi growing zones · UV index today in Greenville · frost vs. freeze