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Will it freeze in Elkins in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 32°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM EST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 32°F Freeze · Light Rain Likely
- Sat, Nov 7 29°F Freeze · Slight Chance Light Rain then Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 27°F Hard freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 31°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 29°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Elkins
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 21, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Elkins Randolph County Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 30 · May 16 · May 31 | Sep 21 · Oct 4 · Oct 15 | 141 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 20 · May 5 · May 21 | Oct 1 · Oct 12 · Oct 25 | 159 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 8 · Apr 24 · May 13 | Oct 8 · Oct 21 · Nov 2 | 180 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Elkins Randolph County Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Elkins, WV come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Elkins Randolph County Airport (station USW00013729, elevation 1,979 ft), 2.7 mi from Elkins. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Elkins
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buckhannon, WV | 21 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 20 |
| Bridgeport, WV | 34 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 24 |
| Clarksburg, WV | 36 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 23 |
| Fairmont, WV | 42 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 28 |
| Morgantown, WV | 50 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 24 |
| Bridgewater, VA | 61 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 23 |
| Harrisonburg, VA | 63 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 23 |
| Uniontown, PA | 68 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 18 |
| Staunton, VA | 68 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 27 |
| Frostburg, MD | 71 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 18 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Elkins?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Elkins is around May 5. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 20.
When is the first frost in Elkins?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 12. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 1 and a 90% chance by October 25.
Can it frost in Elkins after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 16.
What growing zone is Elkins?
Elkins is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 26241. See growing zones in West Virginia.
More: all West Virginia frost dates · West Virginia growing zones · frost vs. freeze