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Will it freeze in Fox Crossing in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 27°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 34°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 27°F Hard freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fox Crossing
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 18, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Appleton. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 30 · May 15 · May 29 | Sep 15 · Sep 28 · Oct 11 | 134 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 21 · May 4 · May 20 | Sep 23 · Oct 6 · Oct 21 | 154 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 9 · Apr 23 · May 8 | Oct 1 · Oct 18 · Nov 3 | 177 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Appleton
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fox Crossing, WI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Appleton (station USC00470265, elevation 792 ft), 4.2 mi from Fox Crossing. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fox Crossing
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Menasha, WI | 2.5 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
| Neenah, WI | 4.3 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
| Greenville, WI | 5.6 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
| Appleton, WI | 5.6 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
| Kimberly, WI | 7.5 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
| Little Chute, WI | 9.3 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
| Harrison, WI | 9.3 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
| Kaukauna, WI | 11 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
| Oshkosh, WI | 14 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 20 |
| New London, WI | 17 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fox Crossing?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fox Crossing is around May 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 21.
When is the first frost in Fox Crossing?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 6. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 23 and a 90% chance by October 21.
Can it frost in Fox Crossing after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 15.
What growing zone is Fox Crossing?
Fox Crossing is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 54914. See growing zones in Wisconsin.
More: all Wisconsin frost dates · Wisconsin growing zones · frost vs. freeze