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Will it freeze in Rutland in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sun, Nov 8: 31°F (Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 PM EST to Mon, Nov 9, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 52°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 52°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 31°F Freeze · Chance Rain Showers then Chance Rain And Snow Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 29°F Freeze · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 29°F Freeze · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Rain And Snow Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 23°F Hard freeze · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Rutland
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Rutland. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 13 · May 29 · Jun 10 | Sep 4 · Sep 16 · Sep 29 | 110 days |
| 32°F freeze | May 1 · May 15 · May 31 | Sep 13 · Sep 27 · Oct 8 | 132 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 22 · May 2 · May 16 | Sep 23 · Oct 5 · Oct 21 | 155 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Rutland
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Rutland, VT come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Rutland (station USC00436995, elevation 620 ft), 1.1 mi from Rutland. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Rutland
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claremont, NH | 36 mi | May 14 | Oct 1 |
| Lebanon, NH | 36 mi | May 9 | Oct 6 |
| Hudson Falls, NY | 37 mi | May 9 | Sep 30 |
| Glens Falls, NY | 39 mi | May 17 | Sep 29 |
| Barre, VT | 47 mi | May 16 | Sep 29 |
| Montpelier, VT | 50 mi | May 5 | Oct 9 |
| Saratoga Springs, NY | 55 mi | May 2 | Oct 7 |
| Keene, NH | 57 mi | May 14 | Oct 1 |
| South Burlington, VT | 58 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 15 |
| Mechanicville, NY | 60 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 26 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Rutland?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Rutland is around May 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after May 1.
When is the first frost in Rutland?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around September 27. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 13 and a 90% chance by October 8.
Can it frost in Rutland after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 29.
What growing zone is Rutland?
Rutland is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −20 to −15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 05736. See growing zones in Vermont.
More: all Vermont frost dates · Vermont growing zones · frost vs. freeze