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Will it freeze in Saratoga Springs in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Mon, Nov 9: 32°F (Mon, Nov 9, 6:00 PM EST to Tue, Nov 10, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 51°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 51°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 41°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Chance Light Rain
- Mon, Nov 9 32°F Freeze · Slight Chance Light Rain then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 26°F Hard freeze · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Saratoga Springs
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 21, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Saratoga Springs 4 SW. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 30 · May 15 · May 29 | Sep 17 · Sep 29 · Oct 10 | 138 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 21 · May 2 · May 17 | Sep 27 · Oct 7 · Oct 25 | 158 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 8 · Apr 20 · May 4 | Oct 5 · Oct 21 · Nov 5 | 183 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Saratoga Springs 4 SW
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Saratoga Springs, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Saratoga Springs 4 SW (station USC00307484, elevation 326 ft), 2.9 mi from Saratoga Springs. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Saratoga Springs
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mechanicville, NY | 12 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 26 |
| Glens Falls, NY | 18 mi | May 17 | Sep 29 |
| Scotia, NY | 19 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 15 |
| Hudson Falls, NY | 19 mi | May 9 | Sep 30 |
| Schenectady, NY | 20 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 15 |
| Cohoes, NY | 21 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 26 |
| Amsterdam, NY | 22 mi | May 7 | Oct 7 |
| Troy, NY | 24 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 26 |
| Watervliet, NY | 24 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 26 |
| Colonie, NY | 24 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 15 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Saratoga Springs?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Saratoga Springs is around May 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 17, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 21.
When is the first frost in Saratoga Springs?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 7. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 27 and a 90% chance by October 25.
Can it frost in Saratoga Springs after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 15.
What growing zone is Saratoga Springs?
Saratoga Springs is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 12866. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · UV index today in Saratoga Springs · frost vs. freeze