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Will it freeze in Emporia in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Emporia during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 65°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 65°F Above 36°F · Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 49°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Emporia
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 19, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Emporia 1 Wnw. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 31 · Apr 14 · May 1 | Oct 15 · Oct 28 · Nov 9 | 198 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 17 · Mar 31 · Apr 14 | Oct 26 · Nov 6 · Nov 23 | 221 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 1 · Mar 20 · Apr 4 | Nov 3 · Nov 19 · Dec 8 | 247 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Emporia 1 Wnw
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Emporia, VA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Emporia 1 Wnw (station USC00442790, elevation 100 ft), 1.3 mi from Emporia. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Emporia
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roanoke Rapids, NC | 19 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 9 |
| Franklin, VA | 33 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 2 |
| Petersburg, VA | 36 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
| Colonial Heights, VA | 40 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
| Hopewell, VA | 43 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 6 |
| Suffolk, VA | 50 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 15 |
| Rocky Mount, NC | 53 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 7 |
| Smithfield, VA | 55 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 9 |
| Tarboro, NC | 55 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 9 |
| Henderson, NC | 55 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 26 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Emporia?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Emporia is around March 31. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 14, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 17.
When is the first frost in Emporia?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 6. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 26 and a 90% chance by November 23.
Can it frost in Emporia after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 14.
What growing zone is Emporia?
Emporia is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 23847. See growing zones in Virginia.
More: all Virginia frost dates · Virginia growing zones · frost vs. freeze