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Will it freeze in Henderson in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Henderson during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 64°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 64°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Henderson
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 4, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Henderson 2 Nnw. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 13 · Apr 28 · May 13 | Oct 7 · Oct 18 · Oct 30 | 174 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 16 · Apr 30 | Oct 13 · Oct 26 · Nov 7 | 193 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 1 · Apr 17 | Oct 22 · Nov 4 · Nov 20 | 217 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Henderson 2 Nnw
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Henderson, NC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Henderson 2 Nnw (station USC00313969, elevation 480 ft), 1.6 mi from Henderson. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Henderson
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford, NC | 9.3 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 6 |
| Creedmoor, NC | 21 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 4 |
| Butner, NC | 22 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 4 |
| Wake Forest, NC | 25 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 4 |
| Rolesville, NC | 29 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 4 |
| Roxboro, NC | 32 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 26 |
| Zebulon, NC | 35 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 8 |
| Nashville, NC | 35 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 5 |
| Durham, NC | 36 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 4 |
| Raleigh, NC | 37 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 8 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Henderson?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Henderson is around April 16. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 30, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 31.
When is the first frost in Henderson?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 26. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 13 and a 90% chance by November 7.
Can it frost in Henderson after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 28.
What growing zone is Henderson?
Henderson is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 27536. See growing zones in North Carolina.
More: all North Carolina frost dates · North Carolina growing zones · frost vs. freeze