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Will it freeze in Tarboro in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Tarboro during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 67°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 67°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 52°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Tarboro
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 23, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Tarboro 1 S. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 26 · Apr 9 · Apr 23 | Oct 18 · Oct 31 · Nov 12 | 204 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 12 · Mar 30 · Apr 10 | Oct 29 · Nov 9 · Nov 28 | 226 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 27 · Mar 15 · Apr 1 | Nov 5 · Nov 23 · Dec 11 | 251 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Tarboro 1 S
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Tarboro, NC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Tarboro 1 S (station USC00318500, elevation 35 ft), 1.8 mi from Tarboro. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Tarboro
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rocky Mount, NC | 15 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 7 |
| Nashville, NC | 23 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 5 |
| Greenville, NC | 24 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 8 |
| Wilson, NC | 24 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 12 |
| Winterville, NC | 27 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 8 |
| Williamston, NC | 28 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 12 |
| Ayden, NC | 31 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 8 |
| Washington, NC | 37 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 15 |
| Roanoke Rapids, NC | 38 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 9 |
| Zebulon, NC | 43 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 8 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Tarboro?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Tarboro is around March 30. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 12.
When is the first frost in Tarboro?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 9. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 29 and a 90% chance by November 28.
Can it frost in Tarboro after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 9.
What growing zone is Tarboro?
Tarboro is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 27886. See growing zones in North Carolina.
More: all North Carolina frost dates · North Carolina growing zones · frost vs. freeze