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Will it freeze in Southlake in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Southlake during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 52°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 52°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 51°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 52°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Southlake
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 29, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Grapevine Dam. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 8 · Mar 29 · Apr 15 | Oct 26 · Nov 7 · Nov 23 | 223 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 23 · Mar 14 · Apr 3 | Nov 2 · Nov 17 · Dec 4 | 249 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 4 · Mar 1 · Mar 20 | Nov 9 · Nov 29 · Dec 20 | 275 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Grapevine Dam
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Southlake, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Grapevine Dam (station USC00413691, elevation 585 ft), 5.4 mi from Southlake. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Southlake
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trophy Club, TX | 3.1 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 17 |
| Colleyville, TX | 4.3 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 17 |
| Grapevine, TX | 4.3 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 17 |
| Keller, TX | 4.3 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 17 |
| Flower Mound, TX | 6.2 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 17 |
| Roanoke, TX | 6.2 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 17 |
| Bedford, TX | 7.5 mi | Mar 9 | Nov 20 |
| North Richland Hills, TX | 7.5 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 20 |
| Watauga, TX | 8.1 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 20 |
| Euless, TX | 8.1 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Southlake?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Southlake is around March 14. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 23.
When is the first frost in Southlake?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 17. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 2 and a 90% chance by December 4.
Can it frost in Southlake after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 29.
What growing zone is Southlake?
Southlake is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 76092. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · UV index today in Southlake · frost vs. freeze