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Will it freeze in Royse City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Royse City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 53°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 53°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 45°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Royse City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Lavon Dam. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 4 · Mar 26 · Apr 16 | Oct 25 · Nov 8 · Nov 25 | 228 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 20 · Mar 10 · Mar 31 | Nov 1 · Nov 19 · Dec 5 | 254 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 1 · Feb 26 · Mar 17 | Nov 13 · Dec 1 · Dec 22 | 278 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Lavon Dam
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Royse City, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Lavon Dam (station USC00415094, elevation 510 ft), 11 mi from Royse City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Royse City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fate, TX | 4.3 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
| Josephine, TX | 6.2 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
| Lavon, TX | 7.5 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
| Rockwall, TX | 8.1 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
| Caddo Mills, TX | 8.7 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 16 |
| McLendon-Chisholm, TX | 9.9 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 18 |
| Heath, TX | 12 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
| Wylie, TX | 12 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
| Farmersville, TX | 13 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
| Rowlett, TX | 14 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Royse City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Royse City is around March 10. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 20.
When is the first frost in Royse City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 1 and a 90% chance by December 5.
Can it frost in Royse City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 26.
What growing zone is Royse City?
Royse City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 75189. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · UV index today in Royse City · frost vs. freeze