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Will it freeze in Pearsall in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Pearsall during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 60°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 60°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 57°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 55°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 52°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 52°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 54°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 55°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Pearsall
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 23, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Dilley. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 6 · Mar 2 · Mar 22 | Nov 5 · Nov 23 · Dec 11 | 266 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 14 · Feb 16 · Mar 12 | Nov 16 · Dec 6 · Jan 3 | 296 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 19 · Jan 26 · Mar 1 | Dec 1 · Dec 23 · Feb 4 | 336 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Dilley
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Pearsall, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Dilley (station USC00412458, elevation 550 ft), 16 mi from Pearsall. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Pearsall
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hondo, TX | 32 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 20 |
| Pleasanton, TX | 37 mi | Feb 27 | Nov 28 |
| Sandy Oaks, TX | 46 mi | Feb 20 | Dec 3 |
| Crystal City, TX | 47 mi | Feb 10 | Dec 10 |
| Uvalde, TX | 47 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 14 |
| Leon Valley, TX | 51 mi | Feb 18 | Dec 9 |
| San Antonio, TX | 52 mi | Feb 25 | Nov 28 |
| Helotes, TX | 53 mi | Feb 18 | Dec 9 |
| Alamo Heights, TX | 56 mi | Feb 25 | Nov 28 |
| Terrell Hills, TX | 57 mi | Feb 25 | Nov 28 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Pearsall?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Pearsall is around February 16. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 12, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 14.
When is the first frost in Pearsall?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 6. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 16 and a 90% chance by January 3.
Can it frost in Pearsall after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 2.
What growing zone is Pearsall?
Pearsall is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 78061. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze