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Will it freeze in Lake Dallas in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lake Dallas during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 54°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 54°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lake Dallas
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Denton 2 SE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 8 · Mar 28 · Apr 16 | Oct 26 · Nov 10 · Nov 26 | 227 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 24 · Mar 13 · Mar 31 | Nov 3 · Nov 20 · Dec 8 | 251 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 6 · Mar 1 · Mar 18 | Nov 11 · Dec 1 · Dec 22 | 276 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Denton 2 SE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lake Dallas, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Denton 2 SE (station USC00412404, elevation 630 ft), 6.8 mi from Lake Dallas. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lake Dallas
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hickory Creek, TX | 1.2 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 20 |
| Corinth, TX | 3.1 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 20 |
| Highland Village, TX | 3.7 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 20 |
| Oak Point, TX | 3.7 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 20 |
| Lewisville, TX | 6.2 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 17 |
| The Colony, TX | 7.5 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 21 |
| Little Elm, TX | 7.5 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 20 |
| Flower Mound, TX | 8.1 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 17 |
| Providence Village, TX | 8.7 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 20 |
| Argyle, TX | 9.3 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 7 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lake Dallas?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lake Dallas is around March 13. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 24.
When is the first frost in Lake Dallas?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 20. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 3 and a 90% chance by December 8.
Can it frost in Lake Dallas after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 28.
What growing zone is Lake Dallas?
Lake Dallas is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 75065. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze