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Will it freeze in La Joya in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in La Joya during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 71°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 71°F Above 36°F · Showers And Thunderstorms
- Fri, Nov 6 67°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 65°F Above 36°F · Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 59°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 59°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 62°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 63°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in La Joya
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at La Joya, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 9 · Feb 11 · Mar 11 | Nov 18 · Dec 7 · Jan 7 | 303 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 22 · Jan 23 · Feb 27 | Dec 2 · Dec 28 · Feb 1 | 340 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 17 · Jan 7 · Feb 6 | Dec 13 · Jan 1 · Feb 1 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at La Joya
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for La Joya, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: La Joya (station USC00414911, elevation 213 ft), 10 mi from La Joya. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near La Joya
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penitas, TX | 2.5 mi | Jan 23 | Dec 28 |
| Palmview, TX | 6.2 mi | Jan 23 | Dec 28 |
| Mission, TX | 9.9 mi | rare | rare |
| Alton, TX | 11 mi | Jan 23 | Dec 28 |
| McAllen, TX | 14 mi | rare | rare |
| Hidalgo, TX | 17 mi | rare | rare |
| Pharr, TX | 19 mi | rare | rare |
| Edinburg, TX | 21 mi | rare | rare |
| San Juan, TX | 21 mi | rare | rare |
| Alamo, TX | 23 mi | rare | rare |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in La Joya?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in La Joya is around January 23. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 22.
When is the first frost in La Joya?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 28. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 2 and a 90% chance by February 1.
Can it frost in La Joya after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 11.
What growing zone is La Joya?
La Joya is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 10a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 30 to 35°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 78560. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze