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Will it freeze in Kingsville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Kingsville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 66°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 66°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 62°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 61°F Above 36°F · Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 55°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 55°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 57°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 59°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Kingsville
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Kingsville, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 15 · Feb 17 · Mar 14 | Nov 13 · Dec 4 · Jan 2 | 290 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 18 · Jan 25 · Mar 3 | Nov 25 · Dec 20 · Jan 21 | 329 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 12 · Jan 9 · Feb 17 | Dec 7 · Jan 1 · Feb 3 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Kingsville
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Kingsville, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Kingsville (station USC00414810, elevation 57 ft), 1.7 mi from Kingsville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Kingsville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alice, TX | 21 mi | Jan 29 | Dec 29 |
| Robstown, TX | 23 mi | Jan 26 | Dec 24 |
| Corpus Christi, TX | 35 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 22 |
| Portland, TX | 42 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 22 |
| Sinton, TX | 43 mi | Feb 1 | Dec 17 |
| Ingleside, TX | 47 mi | rare | rare |
| Aransas Pass, TX | 54 mi | rare | rare |
| Rockport, TX | 62 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 25 |
| Beeville, TX | 62 mi | Feb 17 | Dec 8 |
| Raymondville, TX | 71 mi | Jan 21 | Dec 26 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Kingsville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Kingsville is around January 25. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 18.
When is the first frost in Kingsville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 20. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 25 and a 90% chance by January 21.
Can it frost in Kingsville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 17.
What growing zone is Kingsville?
Kingsville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 78363. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze