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Will it freeze in Jasper in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Jasper during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 53°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 55°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 46°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 49°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Jasper
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 22, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Sam Rayburn Dam. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 17 · Mar 13 · Apr 4 | Nov 1 · Nov 19 · Dec 6 | 249 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 28 · Feb 24 · Mar 23 | Nov 9 · Dec 1 · Dec 27 | 280 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 7 · Feb 3 · Mar 5 | Nov 26 · Dec 22 · Jan 21 | 317 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Sam Rayburn Dam
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Jasper, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Sam Rayburn Dam (station USC00417936, elevation 189 ft), 12 mi from Jasper. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Jasper
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silsbee, TX | 42 mi | Feb 25 | Nov 30 |
| DeRidder, LA | 42 mi | Mar 1 | Nov 25 |
| Leesville, LA | 45 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 9 |
| Lumberton, TX | 48 mi | Feb 25 | Nov 30 |
| Diboll, TX | 50 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 15 |
| Lufkin, TX | 52 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 15 |
| Hudson, TX | 54 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 15 |
| Vidor, TX | 55 mi | Feb 14 | Dec 4 |
| Orange, TX | 57 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 23 |
| Livingston, TX | 58 mi | Mar 1 | Nov 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Jasper?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Jasper is around February 24. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 23, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 28.
When is the first frost in Jasper?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 9 and a 90% chance by December 27.
Can it frost in Jasper after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 13.
What growing zone is Jasper?
Jasper is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 75951. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze