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Will it freeze in Center in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Center during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 51°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Center
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 28, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Center. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 7 · Mar 30 · Apr 16 | Oct 23 · Nov 5 · Nov 21 | 221 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 22 · Mar 13 · Apr 4 | Nov 1 · Nov 15 · Dec 4 | 248 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 31 · Feb 28 · Mar 18 | Nov 8 · Nov 28 · Dec 23 | 276 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Center
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Center, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Center (station USC00411578, elevation 325 ft), 1.4 mi from Center. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Center
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carthage, TX | 27 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 19 |
| Nacogdoches, TX | 30 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 17 |
| Henderson, TX | 44 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 16 |
| Lufkin, TX | 46 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 15 |
| Hudson, TX | 48 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 15 |
| Shreveport, LA | 52 mi | Mar 9 | Nov 18 |
| Marshall, TX | 53 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 11 |
| Diboll, TX | 55 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 15 |
| Rusk, TX | 57 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 25 |
| Kilgore, TX | 58 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 17 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Center?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Center is around March 13. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 4, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 22.
When is the first frost in Center?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 15. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 1 and a 90% chance by December 4.
Can it frost in Center after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 30.
What growing zone is Center?
Center is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 75935. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze