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Will it freeze in Brownfield in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Brownfield during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 39°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Brownfield
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 14, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Brownfield #2. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 31 · Apr 14 · Apr 28 | Oct 13 · Oct 26 · Nov 8 | 195 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 16 · Apr 3 · Apr 20 | Oct 22 · Nov 4 · Nov 17 | 215 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 1 · Mar 20 · Apr 8 | Oct 30 · Nov 14 · Nov 28 | 238 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Brownfield #2
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Brownfield, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Brownfield #2 (station USC00411128, elevation 3,300 ft), 1.1 mi from Brownfield. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Brownfield
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfforth, TX | 28 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 11 |
| Levelland, TX | 29 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 1 |
| Lubbock, TX | 35 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 11 |
| Lamesa, TX | 36 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 4 |
| Seminole, TX | 38 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 6 |
| Slaton, TX | 40 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 11 |
| Littlefield, TX | 52 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 26 |
| Hobbs, NM | 60 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 10 |
| Andrews, TX | 61 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 14 |
| Lovington, NM | 64 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 13 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Brownfield?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Brownfield is around April 3. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 16.
When is the first frost in Brownfield?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 4. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 22 and a 90% chance by November 17.
Can it frost in Brownfield after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 14.
What growing zone is Brownfield?
Brownfield is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 79316. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze