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Will it freeze in Fayetteville in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 30°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 40°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 40°F Above 36°F · Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 30°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 30°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fayetteville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 6, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Fayetteville Water Treatment Plant. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 4 · Apr 20 · May 5 | Oct 4 · Oct 18 · Nov 1 | 180 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 19 · Apr 7 · Apr 22 | Oct 13 · Oct 28 · Nov 10 | 201 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 6 · Mar 27 · Apr 13 | Oct 22 · Nov 6 · Nov 23 | 224 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Fayetteville Water Treatment Plant
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fayetteville, TN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Fayetteville Water Treatment Plant (station USC00403074, elevation 742 ft), 1.6 mi from Fayetteville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fayetteville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lynchburg, Moore County, TN | 15 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 25 |
| Lewisburg, TN | 24 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 22 |
| Tullahoma, TN | 25 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 30 |
| Shelbyville, TN | 25 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 29 |
| Winchester, TN | 26 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 29 |
| Pulaski, TN | 27 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 24 |
| Huntsville, AL | 32 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 8 |
| Madison, AL | 32 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 8 |
| Athens, AL | 34 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 12 |
| Manchester, TN | 35 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fayetteville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fayetteville is around April 7. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 22, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 19.
When is the first frost in Fayetteville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 28. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 13 and a 90% chance by November 10.
Can it frost in Fayetteville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 20.
What growing zone is Fayetteville?
Fayetteville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 37334. See growing zones in Tennessee.
More: all Tennessee frost dates · Tennessee growing zones · frost vs. freeze