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Will it freeze in Madison in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Madison during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 47°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 47°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Madison
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 20, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Huntsville Intl Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 17 · Apr 4 · Apr 19 | Oct 17 · Oct 30 · Nov 12 | 207 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 4 · Mar 24 · Apr 8 | Oct 27 · Nov 8 · Nov 25 | 229 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 19 · Mar 10 · Mar 29 | Nov 3 · Nov 20 · Dec 8 | 256 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Huntsville Intl Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Madison, AL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Huntsville Intl Airport (station USW00003856, elevation 624 ft), 4.8 mi from Madison. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Madison
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huntsville, AL | 5.0 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 8 |
| Triana, AL | 8.7 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 8 |
| Athens, AL | 12 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 12 |
| Decatur, AL | 16 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 7 |
| Hartselle, AL | 21 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 7 |
| Arab, AL | 30 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 18 |
| Fayetteville, TN | 32 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 28 |
| Pulaski, TN | 37 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 24 |
| Cullman, AL | 37 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 1 |
| Guntersville, AL | 37 mi | Mar 17 | Nov 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Madison?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Madison is around March 24. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 8, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 4.
When is the first frost in Madison?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 8. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 27 and a 90% chance by November 25.
Can it frost in Madison after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 4.
What growing zone is Madison?
Madison is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 35758. See growing zones in Alabama.
More: all Alabama frost dates · Alabama growing zones · UV index today in Madison · frost vs. freeze