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Will it freeze in Conway in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Conway during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 66°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 66°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 55°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 44°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Conway
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 7, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Conway. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 9 · Mar 28 · Apr 13 | Oct 26 · Nov 9 · Nov 28 | 227 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 21 · Mar 15 · Apr 1 | Nov 5 · Nov 22 · Dec 18 | 254 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 30 · Feb 28 · Mar 22 | Nov 17 · Dec 7 · Jan 7 | 287 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Conway
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Conway, SC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Conway (station USC00381997, elevation 20 ft), 0.4 mi from Conway. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Conway
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Myrtle Beach, SC | 12 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 13 |
| North Myrtle Beach, SC | 19 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 20 |
| Carolina Shores, NC | 28 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 11 |
| Marion, SC | 31 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 11 |
| Georgetown, SC | 35 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 24 |
| Shallotte, NC | 40 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 17 |
| Lake City, SC | 40 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 13 |
| Dillon, SC | 45 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 8 |
| Florence, SC | 48 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 13 |
| Oak Island, NC | 53 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 17 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Conway?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Conway is around March 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 1, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 21.
When is the first frost in Conway?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 22. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 5 and a 90% chance by December 18.
Can it frost in Conway after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 28.
What growing zone is Conway?
Conway is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 29526. See growing zones in South Carolina.
More: all South Carolina frost dates · South Carolina growing zones · UV index today in Conway · frost vs. freeze