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Will it freeze in Carolina Shores in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Carolina Shores during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 66°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 66°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 55°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sat, Nov 7 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Carolina Shores
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 25, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Longwood. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 21 · Apr 6 · Apr 20 | Oct 20 · Nov 1 · Nov 16 | 210 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 3 · Mar 26 · Apr 11 | Oct 29 · Nov 11 · Dec 1 | 231 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 14 · Mar 10 · Mar 31 | Nov 6 · Nov 25 · Dec 21 | 259 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Longwood
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Carolina Shores, NC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Longwood (station USC00315116, elevation 40 ft), 7.3 mi from Carolina Shores. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Carolina Shores
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Myrtle Beach, SC | 9.9 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 20 |
| Shallotte, NC | 12 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 17 |
| Myrtle Beach, SC | 22 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 13 |
| Oak Island, NC | 26 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 17 |
| St. James, NC | 27 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 17 |
| Conway, SC | 28 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 22 |
| Boiling Spring Lakes, NC | 29 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 17 |
| Leland, NC | 37 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 20 |
| Carolina Beach, NC | 40 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 17 |
| Wilmington, NC | 45 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 20 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Carolina Shores?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Carolina Shores is around March 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 3.
When is the first frost in Carolina Shores?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 11. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 29 and a 90% chance by December 1.
Can it frost in Carolina Shores after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 6.
What growing zone is Carolina Shores?
Carolina Shores is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 28467. See growing zones in North Carolina.
More: all North Carolina frost dates · North Carolina growing zones · frost vs. freeze