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Will it freeze in Rumson in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Rumson during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 62°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 62°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 54°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 47°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Rumson
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 15, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Long Branch-Oakhurst. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 8 · Apr 22 · May 8 | Oct 11 · Oct 24 · Nov 6 | 184 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 28 · Apr 9 · Apr 23 | Oct 21 · Nov 3 · Nov 18 | 208 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 13 · Mar 29 · Apr 10 | Nov 1 · Nov 15 · Dec 2 | 233 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Long Branch-Oakhurst
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Rumson, NJ come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Long Branch-Oakhurst (station USC00284987, elevation 30 ft), 4.5 mi from Rumson. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Rumson
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair Haven, NJ | 1.9 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 3 |
| Little Silver, NJ | 2.5 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 3 |
| Oceanport, NJ | 3.1 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 3 |
| Red Bank, NJ | 3.1 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 3 |
| Long Branch, NJ | 5.0 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 3 |
| West Long Branch, NJ | 5.0 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 3 |
| Eatontown, NJ | 5.6 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 3 |
| Tinton Falls, NJ | 8.1 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 3 |
| Asbury Park, NJ | 9.3 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 3 |
| Keansburg, NJ | 9.9 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Rumson?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Rumson is around April 9. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 23, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 28.
When is the first frost in Rumson?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 3. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 21 and a 90% chance by November 18.
Can it frost in Rumson after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 22.
What growing zone is Rumson?
Rumson is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 07760. See growing zones in New Jersey.
More: all New Jersey frost dates · New Jersey growing zones · frost vs. freeze