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Will it freeze in Mount Arlington in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Mount Arlington during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 59°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 59°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 42°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Mount Arlington
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 31, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Andover Aeroflex Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 22 · May 7 · May 22 | Sep 26 · Oct 6 · Oct 22 | 152 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 12 · Apr 25 · May 11 | Oct 5 · Oct 19 · Nov 3 | 175 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 11 · Apr 28 | Oct 15 · Oct 31 · Nov 13 | 202 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Andover Aeroflex Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Mount Arlington, NJ come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Andover Aeroflex Airport (station USW00054779, elevation 583 ft), 7.9 mi from Mount Arlington. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Mount Arlington
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hopatcong, NJ | 2.5 mi | Apr 25 | Oct 19 |
| Wharton, NJ | 3.7 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 23 |
| Dover, NJ | 5.0 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 23 |
| Rockaway, NJ | 6.8 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 23 |
| Morris Plains, NJ | 11 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 23 |
| Hackettstown, NJ | 11 mi | Apr 25 | Oct 19 |
| Newton, NJ | 11 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 16 |
| Morristown, NJ | 12 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 27 |
| Boonton, NJ | 12 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 23 |
| Franklin, NJ | 13 mi | May 1 | Oct 12 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Mount Arlington?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Mount Arlington is around April 25. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 12.
When is the first frost in Mount Arlington?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 5 and a 90% chance by November 3.
Can it frost in Mount Arlington after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 7.
What growing zone is Mount Arlington?
Mount Arlington is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 07856. See growing zones in New Jersey.
More: all New Jersey frost dates · New Jersey growing zones · frost vs. freeze