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Will it freeze in Kinnelon in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Kinnelon during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 60°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 60°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Fri, Nov 6 49°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 43°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Kinnelon
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 31, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Charlotteburg Rsvr. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 23 · May 8 · May 24 | Sep 25 · Oct 7 · Oct 21 | 151 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 12 · Apr 25 · May 11 | Oct 2 · Oct 17 · Nov 3 | 174 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 30 · Apr 11 · Apr 26 | Oct 14 · Oct 31 · Nov 15 | 201 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Charlotteburg Rsvr
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Kinnelon, NJ come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Charlotteburg Rsvr (station USC00281582, elevation 778 ft), 3.9 mi from Kinnelon. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Kinnelon
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Butler, NJ | 2.5 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Bloomingdale, NJ | 4.3 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Pompton Lakes, NJ | 5.6 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Boonton, NJ | 5.6 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 23 |
| Lincoln Park, NJ | 5.6 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 28 |
| Wanaque, NJ | 6.8 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Oakland, NJ | 8.1 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Rockaway, NJ | 9.3 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 23 |
| Franklin Lakes, NJ | 9.3 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Totowa, NJ | 9.9 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 28 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Kinnelon?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Kinnelon is around April 25. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 12.
When is the first frost in Kinnelon?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 17. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 2 and a 90% chance by November 3.
Can it frost in Kinnelon after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 8.
What growing zone is Kinnelon?
Kinnelon is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 07405. See growing zones in New Jersey.
More: all New Jersey frost dates · New Jersey growing zones · frost vs. freeze