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Will it freeze in Caldwell in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Caldwell during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 60°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 60°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 50°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain then Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 43°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Caldwell
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 4, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Essex Fells Service Bldg. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 17 · May 1 · May 18 | Sep 30 · Oct 11 · Oct 26 | 161 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 3 · Apr 18 · May 7 | Oct 8 · Oct 24 · Nov 6 | 187 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 22 · Apr 3 · Apr 19 | Oct 21 · Nov 4 · Nov 20 | 212 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Essex Fells Service Bldg
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Caldwell, NJ come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Essex Fells Service Bldg (station USC00282768, elevation 350 ft), 0.7 mi from Caldwell. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Caldwell
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Caldwell, NJ | 1.9 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 28 |
| Roseland, NJ | 1.9 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 24 |
| Glen Ridge, NJ | 4.3 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 24 |
| Totowa, NJ | 5.6 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 28 |
| Woodland Park, NJ | 5.6 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 28 |
| Lincoln Park, NJ | 6.2 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 28 |
| East Orange, NJ | 6.2 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 6 |
| Clifton, NJ | 6.2 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 28 |
| Florham Park, NJ | 7.5 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 27 |
| Passaic, NJ | 8.1 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 4 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Caldwell?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Caldwell is around April 18. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 3.
When is the first frost in Caldwell?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 24. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 8 and a 90% chance by November 6.
Can it frost in Caldwell after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 1.
What growing zone is Caldwell?
Caldwell is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 07021. See growing zones in New Jersey.
More: all New Jersey frost dates · New Jersey growing zones · frost vs. freeze