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Will it freeze in Grand Island in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Tonight: 30°F (Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 30°F. Freeze.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 30°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 43°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Grand Island
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 23, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Grand Island Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 21 · May 3 · May 15 | Sep 22 · Oct 5 · Oct 18 | 155 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 9 · Apr 23 · May 6 | Sep 29 · Oct 15 · Oct 27 | 174 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 12 · Apr 27 | Oct 9 · Oct 23 · Nov 5 | 193 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Grand Island Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Grand Island, NE come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Grand Island Airport (station USW00014935, elevation 1,840 ft), 3.6 mi from Grand Island. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Grand Island
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hastings, NE | 22 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 16 |
| York, NE | 40 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 18 |
| Kearney, NE | 41 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 10 |
| Holdrege, NE | 63 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Columbus, NE | 63 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 15 |
| Seward, NE | 66 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 12 |
| Lexington, NE | 73 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 13 |
| Crete, NE | 76 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 12 |
| Schuyler, NE | 76 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 15 |
| Lincoln, NE | 88 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 13 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Grand Island?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Grand Island is around April 23. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 6, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 9.
When is the first frost in Grand Island?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 15. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 29 and a 90% chance by October 27.
Can it frost in Grand Island after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 3.
What growing zone is Grand Island?
Grand Island is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 68801. See growing zones in Nebraska.
More: all Nebraska frost dates · Nebraska growing zones · UV index today in Grand Island · frost vs. freeze