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Will it freeze in Lincoln in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 32°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 37°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 32°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 43°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 43°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 44°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lincoln
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 22, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Lincoln Municipal Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 20 · May 2 · May 16 | Sep 21 · Oct 4 · Oct 16 | 153 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 10 · Apr 24 · May 7 | Sep 29 · Oct 13 · Oct 24 | 171 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 15 · Apr 29 | Oct 8 · Oct 22 · Nov 2 | 189 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Lincoln Municipal Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lincoln, NE come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Lincoln Municipal Airport (station USW00014939, elevation 1,190 ft), 4.7 mi from Lincoln. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lincoln
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crete, NE | 19 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 12 |
| Seward, NE | 23 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 12 |
| Wahoo, NE | 28 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 15 |
| Gretna, NE | 33 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 18 |
| Beatrice, NE | 37 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 15 |
| Papillion, NE | 39 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 18 |
| La Vista, NE | 41 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 18 |
| Ralston, NE | 43 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 18 |
| Plattsmouth, NE | 43 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 11 |
| Nebraska City, NE | 43 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lincoln?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lincoln is around April 24. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 10.
When is the first frost in Lincoln?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 13. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 29 and a 90% chance by October 24.
Can it frost in Lincoln after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 2.
What growing zone is Lincoln?
Lincoln is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 68503. See growing zones in Nebraska.
More: all Nebraska frost dates · Nebraska growing zones · UV index today in Lincoln · frost vs. freeze