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Will it freeze in Lexington in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Tonight: 28°F (Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 28°F. Hard freeze.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 28°F Hard freeze · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lexington
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 21, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Canaday Steam Plt. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 24 · May 4 · May 17 | Sep 21 · Oct 3 · Oct 15 | 150 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 13 · Apr 26 · May 7 | Sep 29 · Oct 13 · Oct 24 | 169 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 14 · Apr 30 | Oct 7 · Oct 21 · Nov 2 | 188 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Canaday Steam Plt
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lexington, NE come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Canaday Steam Plt (station USC00251450, elevation 2,362 ft), 6.2 mi from Lexington. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lexington
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holdrege, NE | 30 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Kearney, NE | 35 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 10 |
| North Platte, NE | 58 mi | May 11 | Oct 1 |
| McCook, NE | 61 mi | May 1 | Oct 9 |
| Hastings, NE | 72 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 16 |
| Grand Island, NE | 73 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 15 |
| York, NE | 113 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 18 |
| Colby, KS | 118 mi | May 2 | Oct 9 |
| Columbus, NE | 132 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 15 |
| Hays, KS | 133 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 22 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lexington?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lexington is around April 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 13.
When is the first frost in Lexington?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 13. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 29 and a 90% chance by October 24.
Can it frost in Lexington after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 4.
What growing zone is Lexington?
Lexington is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 68850. See growing zones in Nebraska.
More: all Nebraska frost dates · Nebraska growing zones · frost vs. freeze